Highspeed wrote:Aesop wrote:
When they asked John D. Rockefeller, world's first billionaire, how much money was enough, his reply was "Just a little bit more."
Where's the money ?
You are a cartel boss, you already have more cash than you could ever spend. You have the gold plated AK's, the diamond rings, the Ferrari's and the hot Latino bitches who look like Salma Hayek. Money is rolling in. Lots of competitors want to kill you, but what the fuck, that is the nature of the business you are in.
So why would you decide to go to war with the USA ? Even with Obummer in charge you'll be hunted down like a rabid dog and lose everything you worked for.
You're looking at this like it's a conventional actual war.
They won't be trying to take Washington, or raise anyone's flag, per se.
Chaos itself would be the object, here exactly as it is down there.
They get a 1000-mile open rip in the border, enforcement goes to zero, and any response helps them.
Plus another 10-30M people flood north.
This is true especially if you're the third- or fourth-largest cartel boss, and you want to be Numero Uno.
They get to piggyback on the inevitable squeals for
reconquista from the leftist idiots, the US isn't going to nuke Mexico, round Hispanics up and put them in camps, and we just tried to enforce our will in two countries, and we've seen how that works out.
If we someday (under some other president than the current one) treat it like a war, the border here becomes an armed camp, which isn't liable to sit well with folks, but it also means we won't be mucking around in the rest of S. and Central America to mess with their operations either.
(And if you think seeing us get kicked in the nuts would upset any government south of Texas to the South Pole, I have a bridge for sale, cheap.)
If we don't treat it like a war, the border region here becomes the same cesspit of corruption, beheadings, and the rest that describes Juarez, TJ, and Nuevo Laredo every day in the last 10 years.
We have all the guns anyone would need on this side of the border. They have 20,000,000 potential recruits and allies, not counting the legal immigrants already here, and we have no way to tell the ones that'd side with them from the ones that'd side with us.
The upside benefit for them is they get style points, quadruple their market share and profits, and change the world map for generations to come.
Exactly in the same way the richest Arabs in Saudi Arabi are the moneybags funding Al Qaeda and
jihad (and always have been), including the troglodytes currently running rampant across Iraq, the richest cartel members, and hordes of hungry wannabees would pay for this, and be on us like piranha 2 seconds after anyone showed we could be had.
And we can be.
(People who get rich don't want the world to be like America. They just want to stay rich. If they got rich killing people and selling drugs, they want to be able to kill more people and sell more drugs. Look at the entire Middle East, Russia, China, Mexico, anywhere. And their underlings who aren't rich yet, want that even more so. Look at the grief we get from Soros, Buffett, Gates, Bloomberg, half the Senate, most of Hollywood, and so on right effing here. They don't want Bedford Falls, they want Potterville. At gunpoint if necessary.)
The only thing that's kept this from happening is their respect for a little black line on a map.
The second they realize they don't have to stay inside that box, the world changes.
I think what's happening in Iraq is going to give them ideas.
World maps, like traffic lights and stripes, only work when everyone stays on the proper side of the lines and obeys the rules.
Ask Ukraine. Kuwait. Any part of the former Yugoslavia. Lebanon. Ad infinitum.
Neither maps nor painted lines have magical powers to coerce behavior, and I think sooner or later, the folks in the south are going to reach the conclusion that they should ignore the line, and give it a try on their terms. The cartels would eat American law enforcement for breakfast and spit them out. And the only prospect that would appeal to the government would be the opportunity to try out martial law and massive draconian population control. Whether they'd actually
ever try to restore the
status quo ante is a highly dubious prospect.
And I promise you, five minutes after San Diego, Vegas, Phoenix, etc. became their city, there'd be a phalanx of local politicians on TV on both sides of the new line counseling folks to calm down and adjust to the new order of things, because they weren't such bad people deep down, and we should just lighten up and give peace a chance.
"There are four types of homicide: felonious, accidental, justifiable, and praiseworthy." -Ambrose Bierce, "The Devil's Dictionary"